International Affairs - ProConWiki

International Affairs

52 claims · evidence for and against, weighted by source quality

Debate of the day · International Affairsre-evaluated 1d ago

North Korean cryptocurrency theft provides a material source of funding for the country’s weapons programs

In the news: North Korean hackers linked to crypto thefts among world's best ... · reuters.com

Evidence balance — weighted by source quality, not votes · 6 arguments

The question is whether North Korean cryptocurrency theft should be treated as a materially important source of funding for weapons programs, rather than whether every stolen asset can be traced to a particular facility,…

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All claims in International Affairs

North Korean cryptocurrency theft provides a material source of funding for the country’s weapons programs

China will overtake the US as the dominant global power

Depends on scope

The Falkland Islands (Malvinas) rightfully belong to Argentina

Depends on scope

China will achieve effective naval superiority over the United States in at least part of the western Pacific by 2035

Depends on scope

The United Nations is no longer fit for purpose

Depends on scope

Foreign aid does more harm than good

Artificial intelligence is more likely to deepen geopolitical divisions than foster international cooperation

Depends on scope

U.S. economic sanctions against Iran are an effective means of changing Iranian government behavior

Depends on scope

Over the next decade, continued U.S. military and diplomatic involvement in the Middle East will benefit America more than it harms it

Leaning no, with caveats

A ceasefire negotiated through U.S. envoy diplomacy in Ukraine can last at least 12 months without binding security guarantees

Depends on scope

Imposing forced‑labour tariffs on imports reduces the prevalence of forced labour in the targeted economies

Leaning no, with caveats

The semiconductor supply chain should be prioritized as a national security interest

The United States cannot control the Strait of Hormuz

Leaning no, with caveats

Restored U.S. intelligence sharing improves Ukraine’s battlefield performance without proportionally increasing escalation risk

Depends on scope

International attention shifts away from settlement expansion reduce pressure on occupying powers to halt settlements

Leaning yes, with caveats

Secondary sanctions substantially reduce third-country trade with sanctioned states

Leaning yes, with caveats

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) will enhance financial inclusion globally

Leaning no, with caveats

Nuclear-powered submarines would improve Japan’s national security enough to justify their costs

Leaning no, with caveats

NATO expansion provoked the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Depends on scope

Climate migration will be the defining crisis of the 2030s

Depends on scope

Transferring wartime operational control to South Korea would strengthen the alliance’s deterrence and wartime response

Leaning no, with caveats

Dependence on private satellite networks gives operators wartime leverage over states

European governments should prioritize buying defence equipment from European suppliers over non-European suppliers

Depends on scope

European countries should prioritize domestic or EU-based defence procurement over buying from foreign suppliers

Depends on scope

Whether restricting trade with Israeli settlements is an effective way for the EU to influence Israeli settlement policy

Depends on scope

Third-country deportation should require adequate protection and meaningful procedural safeguards

Governments should require guaranteed admission and safety before deporting migrants to unconnected third countries

Governments should provide individualized notice and review before deporting people to third countries

Mostly yes — with caveats

Governments should establish individual safety before deporting migrants to third countries

Governments should be permitted to deport migrants to third countries without meaningful procedural safeguards

Diplomatic engagement is capable of preventing armed conflict between the United States and Iran despite their fundamental disagreements

Depends on scope

Governments should be permitted to deport migrants to consenting third countries without prior connections

Governments should be legally permitted to deport migrants to third countries, even when those countries are not their countries of origin

Leaning no, with caveats

Renewed fighting in Tigray will significantly worsen Ethiopia’s political stability and humanitarian conditions

Leaning yes, with caveats

Water scarcity will cause more conflicts than oil ever did

Depends on scope

US military strikes against Yemen’s Houthis are more likely to deter attacks than to escalate the wider regional conflict

Leaning no, with caveats

Greater U.S.-Denmark cooperation over Greenland will increase Greenland’s strategic and economic bargaining power

Depends on scope

International sporting events intensify nationalism and prolong territorial disputes

Arms sales to Saudi Arabia increase regional military capability without reliably improving long-term regional stability

North Korea will deploy military personnel to support Russia’s war in Ukraine

The United States can phase out military funding to Israel without weakening its broader strategic partnership with the country

Leaning yes, with caveats

Whether governments should impose sanctions on individuals or entities involved in West Bank settlement activity

Leaning yes, with caveats

Reducing US foreign aid budgets negatively impacts global stability

Leaning yes, with caveats

China's economic slowdown alters global trade dynamics and commodity markets

Climate change and economic instability are major drivers of recent shifts in global migration patterns

U.S. military attacks on Iran increase regional geopolitical instability

Leaning yes, with caveats

NATO's expansion and increased defense spending enhance European security

Depends on scope

Increased drone incursions near NATO borders raise the risk of military escalation with Russia

Economic sanctions rarely achieve their stated goals

Depends on scope

A lasting ceasefire in Gaza cannot be achieved unless Hamas disarms before any agreement is reached

Arctic resource competition will lead to geopolitical tensions and conflicts

Depends on scope

The global order is fragmenting into competing blocs

Depends on scope

The evidence moved

North Korean cryptocurrency theft provides a material source of funding for the country’s weapons programs

The Falkland Islands (Malvinas) rightfully belong to Argentina

Depends on scope

China will achieve effective naval superiority over the United States in at least part of the western Pacific by 2035

Depends on scope